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    NIST - Chwirut1 Dataset


       1: /*
       2:  * Statistical Reference Datasets  (Nonlinear Regression)
       3:  * Statistical Engineering Division
       4:  * National Institute of Standards and Technology
       5:  * http://www.nist.gov/itl/div898/strd/
       6:  *
       7:  * Dataset Name:  Chwirut1          (Chwirut1.dat)
       8:  * 
       9:  * Procedure:     Nonlinear Least Squares Regression
      10:  * 
      11:  * Description:   These data are the result of a NIST study involving
      12:  *                ultrasonic calibration.  The response variable is
      13:  *                ultrasonic response, and the predictor variable is
      14:  *                metal distance.
      15:  * 
      16:  * Reference:     Chwirut, D., NIST (197?).  
      17:  *                Ultrasonic Reference Block Study. 
      18:  * 
      19:  * Data:          1 Response Variable  (y = ultrasonic response)
      20:  *                1 Predictor Variable (x = metal distance)
      21:  *                214 Observations
      22:  *                Lower Level of Difficulty
      23:  *                Observed Data
      24:  * 
      25:  * Model:         Exponential Class
      26:  *                3 Parameters (b1 to b3)
      27:  * 
      28:  *                y = exp[-b1*x]/(b2+b3*x)  +  e
      29:  * 
      30:  * 
      31:  *           Starting values                  Certified Values
      32:  * 
      33:  *         Start 1     Start 2           Parameter     Standard Deviation
      34:  *   b1 =   0.1         0.15          1.9027818370E-01  2.1938557035E-02
      35:  *   b2 =   0.01        0.008         6.1314004477E-03  3.4500025051E-04
      36:  *   b3 =   0.02        0.010         1.0530908399E-02  7.9281847748E-04
      37:  * 
      38:  * Residual Sum of Squares:                    2.3844771393E+03
      39:  * Residual Standard Deviation:                3.3616721320E+00
      40:  * Degrees of Freedom:                               211
      41:  * Number of Observations:                           214
      42:  */
      43: Title "Chwirut1";
      44: Variables y,x;
      45: Parameter b1 = 0.1;
      46: Parameter b2 = 0.01;
      47: Parameter b3 = 0.02;
      48: Function y = exp(-b1*x)/(b2+b3*x);
      49: plot;
      50: data;
    
    Beginning computation...
    Stopped due to: Relative function convergence.
    
    
       ----  Final Results  ----
    
    NLREG version 4.0
    Copyright (c) 1992-1997 Phillip H. Sherrod.  All rights reserved.
    This is a registered copy of NLREG that may not be redistributed.
    
    Chwirut1
    Number of observations = 214
    Maximum allowed number of iterations = 500
    Convergence tolerance factor = 1.000000E-010
    Stopped due to: Relative function convergence.
    Number of iterations performed = 6
    Final sum of squared deviations = 2.3844771E+003
    Final sum of deviations = 1.4172314E+001
    Standard error of estimate = 3.36167
    Average deviation = 2.25529
    Maximum deviation for any observation = 13.1195
    Proportion of variance explained (R^2) = 0.9800  (98.00%)
    Adjusted coefficient of multiple determination (Ra^2) = 0.9798  (97.98%)
    Durbin-Watson test for autocorrelation = 0.983
    
    
                 ----  Descriptive Statistics for Variables  ----
    
     Variable    Minimum value   Maximum value    Mean value     Standard dev.
    ----------  --------------  --------------  --------------  --------------
             y            3.75            92.9         30.2615        23.67979
             x             0.5               6        2.544393        1.645679
    
    
                       ----  Calculated Parameter Values  ----
    
     Parameter  Initial guess   Final estimate   Standard error      t      Prob(t)
    ----------  -------------  ----------------  --------------  ---------  -------
            b1            0.1       0.190278145      0.02193855       8.67  0.00001
            b2           0.01     0.00613139918    0.0003450003      17.77  0.00001
            b3           0.02      0.0105309107    0.0007928185      13.28  0.00001
    
    
                      ----  Analysis of Variance  ----
    
      Source     DF   Sum of Squares    Mean Square    F value   Prob(F)
    ----------  ----  --------------  --------------  ---------  -------
    Regression     2        117051.6        58525.78    5178.89  0.00001
    Error        211        2384.477        11.30084
    Total        213          119436
    



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